复杂设备诊断与维修中基于改进最近相邻法和线索的案例检索

基于案例推理系统的强大功能,来源于它能够从案例库中迅速地检索到与当前新问题“相似”的案例,而这种相似性的比较主要依赖于如何建立问题的特征索引。结合目前三种主要的案例索引技术：最近相邻法（Nearest－neighbor）、归纳法和知识索引法,提出了改进最近相邻法的案例索引技术;并以设备故障诊断与维修为背景,给出了一种基于改进最近相邻法的线索推理算法。     

液体火箭发动机烧蚀冷却推力室室壁温度响应的计算

本文对液体火箭发动机烧蚀冷却推力室的冷却机理进行了分析,较为全面地考虑了影响温度场的主要因素,利用六点中心差分建立了离散数学模型,并对室壁温度响应进行了计算,得到了烧蚀速率和侵蚀速率等。所得结果可供设计推力室时参考。     

氮离子注入印制板钻头试验研究

研究了氮离子注入印制板钻头后对基体材料的显微硬度的影响.在实际中比较了注入和未注入钻头的钻孔效果及钻头的磨损状况;并用AES的方法分析了氮离子注入后工件表面的元素分布情况,探讨了氮离子注入的强化机制.     

课件写作系统的功能需求分析与结构选择策略

本文从“课件工程”的角度出发,对课件及其写作系统的功能需求和结构设计进行了讨论,并介绍了课件写作环境AutoCAI的开发过程和设计策略。     

反辐射及抗反辐射导弹的技术现状及前景

以反辐射导弹技术发展为前提,综述抗反辐射导弹的技术措施及发展途径。     

双37mm高炮系统防御巡航导弹的仿真研究

采用数字仿真方法对使用双３７ｍｍ小高炮系统防御巡航导弹的效能进行了研究。并对战场环境、武器系统的技术参数与目标的毁伤概率间的关系作了定量的分析     

阻隔材料静电屏蔽性能测试方法的实验研究

分析了目前国际上有关静电屏蔽性能测试的标准方法,针对我国目前缺少与国军标GJB2605-96配套的测试装置,作者参照美国电子工业协会标准EIA-541研制了一套静电屏蔽性能测试装置,并将此与美制静电屏蔽测试表ACL-500进行了对比实验,结果表明:在试验基板接地与不接地的两种情况下,试样内感应的峰值电压相差很大;试样的尺寸大小对测试结果影响不大;为了保证所测试的结果具有可比性,必须保持电容探头离试样袋口相等的距离。     

Turkey’s strategic choice: buy or make weapons?

Turkey has been investing in its national defence industrial base since the 1980s. As with other developing countries, Turkey’s motivations for investing in national defence industries can be boiled down to the pursuit of defence autarky, economic benefits and international prestige. However, after 40 years of investment, Turkey is unable to reach the primary goals of defence industrialisation. We argue that three factors are important to understanding Turkey’s persistence in these primary goals. First, Turkey believes that there is an overall improvement in its defence industrial capabilities and the goal of autarky is still reachable. Second, increased defence exports support the belief that Turkish defence industries have become sustainable and the trend will continue in the future. The third reason, perhaps most important of all, has to do with the domestic political gains of defence industrialisation: the AKP uses defence industry and indigenous weapon systems for prestige and, therefore, garners broader support.     

Modeling and analysis of vessel casualties resulting from tanker traffic through narrow waterways

In this paper, we present a physics-based stochastic model to investigate vessel casualties resulting from tanker traffic through a narrow waterway. A state-space model is developed to represent the waterway and the location of vessels at a given time. We first determine the distribution of surface current at a given location of the waterway depending on channel geometry, bottom topography, boundary conditions, and the distribution of wind. Then we determine the distribution of the angular drift for a given vessel travelling at a given location of a waterway. Finally, we incorporate the drift probabilities and random arrival of vessels into a Markov chain model. By analyzing the time-dependent and the steady-state probabilities of the Markov chain, we obtain risk measures such as the probability of casualty at a given location and also the expected number of casualties for a given number of vessels arriving per unit time. Analysis of the Markovian model also yields an analytical result that shows that the expected number of casualties is proportional to square of the tanker arrival rate. We present our methodology on an experimental model of a hypothetical narrow waterway. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Reseach Logistics 46: 871–892, 1999     

基于导弹空间飞行的空间碎片筛选方法研究

随着空间活动的日益频繁,空间碎片的数量也与日俱增,给远程弹道导弹的空间飞行安全带来巨大威胁。针对空间碎片数目繁多,为了快速进行导弹空间飞行安全预警和发射窗口选择,根据远程弹道导弹空间飞行特点,提出了适用于导弹与空间碎片碰撞预警的空间碎片筛选方法,并通过仿真计算证明了该筛选方法的科学性和合理性,该筛选方法可提高导弹空间飞行安全预警效率并缩短预警时间。